Scottish businesses maintain growth ambitions despite minor confidence dip
Business confidence in Scotland experienced a minor dip in September, dropping three points to 33%, according to the latest Business Barometer by Bank of Scotland Commercial Banking.
Despite this decline, the confidence level surpasses the year-to-date average, maintaining at a sturdy 30%.
Companies in Scotland reported lower confidence in their own business prospects month-on-month, down 14 points at 39%. When taken alongside their optimism in the economy, up 10 points to 29%, this gives a headline confidence reading of 33%.
Scottish businesses identified their top target areas for growth in the next six months as evolving their offer (40%), entering new markets (39%) and investing in their team (30%).
The Business Barometer, which surveys 1,200 businesses monthly, provides early signals about UK economic trends both regionally and nationwide.
A net balance of 31% of businesses in the region expect to increase staff levels over the next year, up seven points on last month.
Overall UK business confidence fell five points in September from 41% to 36%. Firms’ outlook on their own trading prospects remained strong at 41% despite a five-point drop on last month, and their optimism in the UK economy also remained robust at 30%, down by seven points on August’s reading.
Businesses hiring intentions remained upbeat with 26% of firms reporting plans to increase their staff levels over the next year, down five points on last month.
Chris Lawrie, regional director for Scotland at Bank of Scotland Commercial Banking, said: “Despite a small dip this month business confidence in Scotland remains positive, with many firms seeking opportunities to grow by expanding their teams and investing in new markets.
“As we move into the winter months, those operating in the hospitality, retail and leisure sectors should be planning carefully for any increase in Christmas trade and getting ready to capitalise on opportunities as they arise. We’ll remain firmly by the side of businesses to support their ambitions and offer the tailored funding needed to thrive.”
Paul Gordon, managing director for SME and Mid Corporates at Lloyds Bank Commercial Banking, said: “As part of the Barometer survey data, we asked firms what represents the biggest issue for the UK Economy. The overwhelming answer from businesses this month was a combination of inflation, interest rates and energy prices.
“With recent data from various organisations in August showing inflationary measures having their desired effect, including our own UK Sector Tracker which showed demand falling across most sectors, the coming months may see a more stable environment where prices are concerned.
“Energy prices, from the wholesale market, have decreased and while businesses are not eligible for the same consumer price cap, most businesses will have longer term agreements with energy suppliers that shelter them somewhat from short term volatility.
“However, as we move into winter, it would be prudent for businesses to review their utility contracts and see if there are savings to be made.”